15/07/2025 12:40
As Red Bull's alarming slump in performance showed no signs of
improving under Christian Horner's leadership, rumours emerged that
Max Verstappen was locked in serious negotiations with Mercedes for
a 2026 seat. It was no secret that Toto Wolff was keen to lure
Verstappen to Brackley for 2025, but ultimately, Verstappen stayed
put. There is no such thing as a coincidence in F1, so was it
therefore any surprise that in the build-up to Red Bull's home race
in Austria, those rumours went into overdrive? Verstappen is Red
Bull's most valuable asset, and losing him would be a devastating
blow. Of the 172 points the team has scored this season, Verstappen
has 165 of them. Since the 2024 British GP, Verstappen has scored
347 points, his three team-mates in Sergio Perez, Liam Lawson, and
Yuki Tsunoda have 41 between them. As the Verstappen-to-Mercedes
links intensified, Horner did his best impression of a batter
blocking vicious fast bowling to any questions regarding
Verstappen's Red Bull contract. The standard refrain would be "We
do not comment on driver contracts," and the next question would be
thrown down to either be blocked or whacked away, and to lob a
grenade here or there, usually aimed in Zak Brown's direction. But
the existence of a break clause in Verstappen's contract has not
been denied, which would allow him to trigger an exit from Red Bull
for 2026 if certain conditions are not met. What is not in doubt
is that the clause only remains active until the summer and relates
to Verstappen's position in the drivers' championship. It is the
finer details which remain shrouded in mystery. RacingNews365
understands that the break clause can only be triggered if
Verstappen is outside of the top three in the drivers' standings -
the position he currently occupies. However, there have been some
reports that it can only be triggered if the Dutchman is outside of
the top four in the championship. In what turned out to be his
final appearance before the F1 media at Silverstone on Sunday after
the British Grand Prix, in which Verstappen recovered to fifth
after an unusual spin from second in the wet, Horner dropped a
'blink-and-you-miss-it' hint about the break clause. The article
continues below. Max Verstappen's Red Bull contract and future
Verstappen is currently 46 points ahead of fifth-placed Charles
Leclerc in the standings after the British GP, with 58 on the board
between now and the summer break from the Belgian and Hungarian
GPs, with Spa a sprint event. It is therefore a very slim chance
that Verstappen will drop below fourth in the standings and into
fifth, but dropping outside of the top three? That is a real
possibility. Ironically, it is Mercedes' George Russell in fourth
place, just 18 points behind Verstappen - certainly a deficit which
can be made up in the two race weekends. Fielding a question about
how he could rally the troops after Silverstone, Horner,
unprompted, name-checked Russell. "We got performance on the car
from the upgrade we brought, and was able to balance it for
qualifying at a track which is very heavily aero-dependent," he
began to tell the media, including RacingNews365. "We out-scored
George Russell, so we are where we are." That is an interesting
comment to make when asked a question about what, at that stage,
was still Horner's team. Russell's difficult afternoon at
Silverstone ended with a 10th-placed finish after opting to pit for
slicks on the formation lap, which ruined his afternoon. He was not
a factor in Verstappen or Red Bull's race, so Horner's referring to
the Briton off the cuff is certainly intriguing. Russell picked up
a solitary point, with Verstappen 10 for fifth-place, doubling the
lead from nine after Austria to 18 after Silverstone. Why would you
concern yourself with what Russell and Mercedes did, unless, for
argument's sake, there was a break clause in your lead driver's
contract that he could leave for next season if he was outside the
top three in the standings, and the deadline for it to be triggered
is fast approaching? As it was, two days after this final media
briefing, Horner was privately told he was being removed from
operational duties as team principal and CEO, with the news
publicly communicated the next day. Verstappen's future, break
clause and all, is now Laurent Mekies' problem. And a big one at
that.